User:Twentypence

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Revision as of 12:13, 30 May 2009 by Twentypence (talk | contribs) (Which mice are attracted to which cheese)

Mouse Difficulties Theory

The Mice page contains a value for the difficulty of catching each mouse, this changes as the hunter changes their trap setup.

Going through and recording these values I noticed that there is a relationship between the different difficulty ratings.

Using the following formula: Trap Power / (Trap Power + number at which mouse difficulty becomes challenging); I've come up with the following boundaries.

Difficulty Rating Min Max
Near Impossible 0.32% 0.36%
Overpowering 7.89% 8.19%
Very Difficult 34.88% 35.30%
Challenging 50.00% 50.00%
Moderate 64.84% 65.31%
Easy 89.78% 90.25%
Effortless 94.80% 95.20%

Following on from this, and after testing the numbers I believe that the difficulties represent the probability of catching the mouse (excluding the effect of hunter's title and the luck of the trap, so this is purely based on power).

Difficulty Rating Probability
Overawing 0% to 1/3%
Near Impossible 1/3% to 8%
Overpowering 8% to 35%
Very Difficult 35% to 50%
Challenging 50% to 65%
Moderate 65% to 90%
Easy 90% to 95%
Effortless 95% to 100%

The results of my work can be found easily here: http://mousehunt.thetoxiczone.com/mousehunt_difficulty_generator.html

Trap Effectiveness

Based purely on the mouse difficulties there may be a linear relationship between the power types of traps compared to the power types of mice.

By comparing the upper and lower boundaries for the start of the "Challenging" difficulty rating for mice that have different effectiveness for different power types some upper and lower boundaries can be calculated.

Against Forgotten mice:

Arcane traps are between 162% and 214% more effective than Shadow Traps (predicted 200%). Physical and Tactical traps rely only on luck.

Against Shadow mice:

Shadow traps are between 755% and 872% more effective than Physical traps (predicted 800%). Shadow traps are between 708% and 901% more effective than Tactical traps (physical and tactical could be the same against shadow mice) (predicted 800%). Shadow traps are between 194% and 208% more effective than Arcane traps (predicted 200%). Exceptions: Physical traps rely only on luck against Ghost mice.

Against Tactical mice:

Tactical traps are between 169% and 179% more effective than Physical traps. However, this completely falls over when you take into account students and masters, where tactical traps are much more effective (predicted 175%). Arcane and Shadow traps rely only on luck. Exceptions: Physical traps are either useless, or as good as against Assassin and Master of the Dojo mice.

Because of the problems with the Tactical traps, these figures may be completely wrong, or it might just be that students and masters are a special case, but I hope it's of some use as a rough guide.

MH Analytics Survey Numbers

Table showing distribution of results received to the MH Analytics survey. Updated as at 28-May-09.

# of Hunts received Cheddar Marble Swiss Brie White Cheddar Radioactive Blue Moon Gnarled Maki Combat / Glutter / Susheese Rumble Ancient Runic SUPER Brie+
Town of Gnawnia 182 1,502 1,140 98 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36
Meadow 368 464 24 135 231 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Harbour 55 1,479 8,652 395 2,096 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 94
Mountain 0 134 8,119 669 110 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 43
Calm Clearing 0 248 6,842 2,713 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 292
Great Gnarled Tree 0 15 3,102 4,896 30 0 0 75 0 0 0 0 0 1,258
Lagoon 0 0 0 55 0 0 0 1,852 0 0 0 0 0 17
Laboratory 69 15,824 14,030 5,356 78 998 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Town of Digby 0 2,961 5,466 789 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 334
Mousoleum 0 0 14 0 0 22,652 17 0 79 0 0 27 0 0
Bazaar 0 0 15 2,057 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 431
Training Grounds 0 0 1,368 2,363 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 115
Dojo 0 61 9,502 21,886 0 0 0 0 2,460 0 0 0 0 375
Meditation Room 0 0 0 97 0 0 0 0 0 742 0 0 0 0
Pinnacle Chamber 0 0 21 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 146 0 0 0
Catacombs 149 0 0 0 72 40,917 0 0 0 0 0 1,018 0 284
Forbidden Grove 0 0 0 0 0 40 0 0 0 0 0 2,656 7 6
Acolyte Realm 308 22 0 0 13 129 0 0 0 0 0 285 4,544 29
Ronza's Travelling Shoppe 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Which mice are attracted to which cheese

Table showing whether mice have been attracted to various cheeses from the result of the MH Analytics survey.

Ancient Brie Cheddar Gnarled Maki Marble Master Cheese Moon Radioactive Blue Rumble Brie+ Swiss White Cheddar
Abominable Snow ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes Yes
Acolyte ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Archer ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes ?
Assassin ? Yes ? ? Yes ? ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes ?
Bat ? Yes Yes ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Bear ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes Yes
Bionic ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Birthday ? Yes ? ? ? Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes ?
Black Widow ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Brown ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Burglar ? Yes ? ? ? Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Centaur ? Yes ? Yes Yes ? ? ? ? ? Yes Yes Yes
Chameleon ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes Yes
Cupid ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Cyclops ? Yes ? Yes ? Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Diamond ? Yes Yes ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Dwarf ? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Eagle Owl ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes Yes
Elf ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ?
Elven Princess ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Fairy ? Yes ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Foxy ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Frog ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Gargoyle Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Gate Guardian Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Ghost Yes ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ?
Glitchpaw ? Yes ? ? ? Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Goblin ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Gold ? Yes Yes ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Golem Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ?
Gorgon Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Granite ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Grey ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Hapless ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes Yes ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Harpy ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Hollowhead ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
iTunes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Keeper Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ?
Keeper's Assistant Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ?
Kung Fu ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes ?
Leprechaun ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? ? Yes ?
Lich ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Lycan Yes ? ? ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? ? ?
Master Burglar ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Master of the Cheese Belt ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? ?
Master of the Cheese Claw ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? ?
Master of the Cheese Fang ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? ?
Master of the Dojo ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ? ?
Mobster ? Yes Yes ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes ?
Mole ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes Yes
Monk ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes ?
Monster ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ?
Moosker ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes Yes
Mummy Yes ? ? ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? ? ?
Mutated Grey ? Yes Yes ? Yes Yes ? Yes Yes ? Yes Yes ?
Mutated White ? Yes Yes ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Nibbler ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ?
Ninja ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Nomad ? Yes ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Ooze Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ?
Pirate ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes Yes
Ravenous Zombie Yes ? ? ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? ? ?
Reaper Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Samurai ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes ?
Scavenger Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ?
Shaman ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes Yes
Skeleton Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ?
Spectre Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Spider Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ?
Steel ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
Student of the Cheese Belt ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Student of the Cheese Claw ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Student of the Cheese Fang ? Yes ? ? Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Sylvan ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes Yes
Tiger ? Yes ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Treant ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Troll ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Vampire Yes ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ?
Water Nymph ? ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
White ? Yes Yes ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Wicked Witch of the Whisker Woods ? Yes ? Yes Yes ? ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Wiggler ? Yes ? Yes Yes Yes ? ? ? ? Yes Yes Yes
Wight ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Worker ? Yes ? ? Yes ? ? ? ? ? Yes Yes ?
Zombie ? Yes Yes ? Yes Yes ? Yes Yes ? Yes Yes Yes
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