User:Twentypence

Mouse Difficulties Theory

The Mice page contains a value for the difficulty of catching each mouse, this changes as the hunter changes their trap setup.

Going through and recording these values I noticed that there is a relationship between the different difficulty ratings.

Using the following formula: Trap Power / (Trap Power + number at which mouse difficulty becomes challenging); I've come up with the following boundaries.

Difficulty Rating	Min	Max
Near Impossible	0.32%	0.36%
Overpowering	7.89%	8.19%
Very Difficult	34.88%	35.30%
Challenging	50.00%	50.00%
Moderate	64.84%	65.31%
Easy	89.78%	90.25%
Effortless	94.80%	95.20%

Following on from this, and after testing the numbers I believe that the difficulties represent the probability of catching the mouse (excluding the effect of hunter's title and the luck of the trap, so this is purely based on power).

Difficulty Rating	Probability
Overawing	0% to 1/3%
Near Impossible	1/3% to 8%
Overpowering	8% to 35%
Very Difficult	35% to 50%
Challenging	50% to 65%
Moderate	65% to 90%
Easy	90% to 95%
Effortless	95% to 100%

The results of my work can be found easily here: http://mousehunt.thetoxiczone.com/mousehunt_difficulty_generator.html

Trap Effectiveness

Based purely on the mouse difficulties there may be a linear relationship between the power types of traps compared to the power types of mice.

By comparing the upper and lower boundaries for the start of the "Challenging" difficulty rating for mice that have different effectiveness for different power types some upper and lower boundaries can be calculated.

Against Forgotten mice:

Arcane traps are between 162% and 214% more effective than Shadow Traps (predicted 200%). Physical and Tactical traps rely only on luck.

Against Shadow mice:

Shadow traps are between 755% and 872% more effective than Physical traps (predicted 800%). Shadow traps are between 708% and 901% more effective than Tactical traps (physical and tactical could be the same against shadow mice) (predicted 800%). Shadow traps are between 194% and 208% more effective than Arcane traps (predicted 200%). Exceptions: Physical traps rely only on luck against Ghost mice.

Against Tactical mice:

Tactical traps are between 169% and 179% more effective than Physical traps. However, this completely falls over when you take into account students and masters, where tactical traps are much more effective (predicted 175%). Arcane and Shadow traps rely only on luck. Exceptions: Physical traps are either useless, or as good as against Assassin and Master of the Dojo mice.

Because of the problems with the Tactical traps, these figures may be completely wrong, or it might just be that students and masters are a special case, but I hope it's of some use as a rough guide.

MH Analytics Survey Numbers

Table showing distribution of results received to the MH Analytics survey. Updated as at 28-May-09.

# of Hunts received	Cheddar	Marble	Swiss	Brie	White Cheddar	Radioactive Blue	Moon	Gnarled	Maki	Combat / Glutter / Susheese	Rumble	Ancient	Runic	SUPER Brie+
Town of Gnawnia	182	1,502	1,140	98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	36
Meadow	368	464	24	135	231	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Harbour	55	1,479	8,652	395	2,096	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	94
Mountain	0	134	8,119	669	110	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	43
Calm Clearing	0	248	6,842	2,713	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	292
Great Gnarled Tree	0	15	3,102	4,896	30	0	0	75	0	0	0	0	0	1,258
Lagoon	0	0	0	55	0	0	0	1,852	0	0	0	0	0	17
Laboratory	69	15,824	14,030	5,356	78	998	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Town of Digby	0	2,961	5,466	789	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	334
Mousoleum	0	0	14	0	0	22,652	17	0	79	0	0	27	0	0
Bazaar	0	0	15	2,057	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	431
Training Grounds	0	0	1,368	2,363	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	115
Dojo	0	61	9,502	21,886	0	0	0	0	2,460	0	0	0	0	375
Meditation Room	0	0	0	97	0	0	0	0	0	742	0	0	0	0
Pinnacle Chamber	0	0	21	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	146	0	0	0
Catacombs	149	0	0	0	72	40,917	0	0	0	0	0	1,018	0	284
Forbidden Grove	0	0	0	0	0	40	0	0	0	0	0	2,656	7	6
Acolyte Realm	308	22	0	0	13	129	0	0	0	0	0	285	4,544	29
Ronza's Travelling Shoppe	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0